Despite historical tensions, trade between India and Pakistan holds significant potential for both economies. However, the relationship has been fraught with political and logistical challenges. As of 2023, bilateral trade was limited to just a few commodities, with the volume standing at approximately $2.6 billion annually, a sharp decline from earlier years. Trade barriers, high tariffs, and frequent political standoffs have hindered growth.
In August 2019, India revoked the special status of Jammu and Kashmir, leading Pakistan to downgrade diplomatic ties and suspend bilateral trade. This move impacted the flow of goods, especially agricultural products and textiles, which had previously seen robust exchanges. The World Bank has noted that if trade were normalized, it could increase to $37 billion, benefiting both nations significantly.
Efforts to resume trade have been sporadic. In 2021, Pakistan announced a temporary lifting of the ban on importing sugar and cotton from India, but the decision was quickly reversed due to political pressure. Analysts suggest that easing trade restrictions could help stabilize the region economically and politically, fostering interdependence that might pave the way for better diplomatic relations in the future.
Sources:
- World Bank Report on India-Pakistan Trade
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